Day: 30 January 2013

You couldn’t say that that, at a reach of 84% of the population, there was any real cause for alarm. But the radio picture does seem to have a particular trend to it. Perhaps, like other media, there is a touch of fragmentation happening and that more attention and listening minutes is on the digital landscape.  (more…)

Dubliners have thirteen stations to choose from so it’s a very busy parish to be plying your trade in. Not unlike the national picture, the dominant player is RTE1 having a reach of 27% and 274,000 listeners on average every day. Their dominance has been severely eroded over the past few surveys and they are down 24,000 listeners and five percentage points over the same period last year. Actually, their high point in Dublin was at the very start of this year and they have been dropping each subsequent survey – down 17,000 on the last quarter (Q3) for example.

But whatever RTE1 are doing wrong in Dublin, FM104 are doing right. Over the twelve months they added 21,000 listeners bring them to 222,000 on average per day. Any stations demographics are a product of the stations output in the main. So with no disrespect to either station, I really can’t see RTE1 and FM104 being in the same ring as their offerings are so different. But the gap between them, which once stood at 102,000 listeners in 2010, is now down to mere 52,000.   

Spin remains in third slot at 14%, but still some distance form FM104. Next is Newstalk on 12% followed by 98FM on 11%. The latter station was once scrapping with FM104 for the top slot after RTE1, now seems to be fighting, along with Q102, not to be relegated to double digits in reach and actual listeners. The move of Ray Foley to 98FM to take up the morning slot may be the trick. The 6:00am to 10:00am slot which he now fills had a reach of 50,000 or 5% and was having “the tar bet out of it” by FM104 with 100,000 for the same time slot.  

Foley moves away from his midday shift with 151,000 listeners nationally, but only 25,000 listened to his programme in Dublin last time out. So, on the bright side, he has potentially doubled his audience in Dublin!   

Today FM, competing strongly on a national ticket never seems to perform well in the metropolis. They lost another 11,000 listeners in the past twelve months and stand at a reach of 8% in Dublin compared to 13% nationally. There seems to be a very ‘outside the pale’ hint to their profile and it’s a profile that may not sit well with some advertisers.    

Station	12_4	11_4	10_4	09_4	12 v 11
RTE Radio 1	274	298	282	292	-24
FM 104	222	201	190	191	21
Spin 1038	146	140	138	132	6
Newstalk	120	124	99	113	-4
98FM	109	114	140	144	-5
Q102	106	118	125	124	-12
Today FM	77	88	83	102	-11
RTE 2FM	62	81	96	118	-19
RTE Lyric FM	45	58	50	53	-13
Radio Nova 100FM	44	49	0	0	-5
Sunshine 106.8	30	33	31	40	-3
Classic Hits 4FM	24	22	16	0	2
Phantom 105.2FM	16	22	21	29	–6

As its taxpayer’s money, I feel that it’s incumbent on me to point out where some of our money is going in the form of 2FM. I though in the last survey it was making some progress in not exactly turning around the slide, but at least arresting it. This is not the case with an audience of 62,000 (17,000 off Lyric – which is a very specialist station in the Donnybrook Stable) and a reach of 6%. I don’t purport to have the answers but there seem to be, from the outside, a bit of stasis in the efforts to halt the decline.

Again graphically is probably the best way to envisage what’s been happening over the past few years. There’s enough going on in the graphs looking at only eight stations without the assault that it would be if I included all thirteen participants.   

  

Station	12_4	11_4	10_4	09_4	12 v 11
Any RTE1/2FM/Lyric	33%	38%	37%	40%	-5%
RTE Radio 1	27%	31%	29%	30%	-4%
FM 104	22%	21%	20%	20%	1%
Spin 1038	14%	15%	14%	13%	-1%
Newstalk	12%	13%	10%	12%	-1%
98FM	11%	12%	14%	15%	-1%
Q102	10%	12%	13%	13%	-2%
Today FM	8%	9%	9%	10%	-1%
RTE 2FM	6%	8%	10%	12%	-2%
RTE Lyric FM	4%	6%	5%	5%	-2%
Radio Nova 100FM	4%	5%	0%	0%	-1%
Sunshine 106.8	3%	3%	3%	4%	0%
Classic Hits 4FM	2%	2%	2%	0%	0%

 

 

The market shares are an interesting one. I have a small graphic that best explains the dominance of RTE1 in Dublin, but then renders the underlying stations to something akin to a spaghetti type mess. So when the picture is relieved of RTE1, which has a 32.5% share in the capital, you can see something of what’s going on in Dublin a little more clearly. 

FM104, in second slot, has managed to move from a low of 9.7% to 14.2% which is still 18.3% off the leader. Q102 looks as if it has arrested the slow slide it was on and is now at 9.3%. Spin, which in earlier surveys looked like it has an audience, but a fickle one, has lifted its share from 6% to 8%. 2FM has all but collapsed in the capital crashing to an all time low of 4.8% down from nearly 9%.   

Finally a quick glance at the quarter hours reaches (sans RTE1). It shows that from 8:00am until 5:00pm the market is dominated by FM104. Its only in the evening that Mr Hook manages to wrestle away top slot. Personally I thought that Matt cooper would do better in Dublin as he is second last behind 2FM.