Clarity: Now, I’ve had to amend this on the back of the numbers for the Independent coming to light. I got a call at 3:30 and the cert is there – now. Their cert was not there this morning or even at lunchtime so I can’t understand what the delay was, and, given the amount of times the Independent IP address appeared in this sites analytics this morning/afternoon – I can’t understand why it was not clarified. Furthermore, two emails remain unanswered from this morning – which would have shed light some of the going’s on.
Sunday Market:
Note: If it doesn’t rain…. earlier version I compared the News trade 2015 number to the total sale last year for the The Sunday Independent – it’s actually down is down 3% to 213,000. The magic of 94% actively purchasing their title and 6% multiple copy sales keeps them up above the 210,000 plateau this time out. The Sunday World fell sharper, down 10% to 178,000 and there’s no corrective surgery on the number with 100% actively purchased. The Sunday Business Post did better than the market with a 4.5% drop to 32,000 and a marginal increase in multiple copy sales.
The Tabloids are down below the market drop with the Daily Star Sunday dropping 19%, but as they make little or no effort in the Irish Market, this is to be expected. The Sun on Sunday, although falling, is doing ‘better’ than the market as a whole only dropping 4%. On the other hand the Sunday Mirror dropped 14% over the year to 30,000. I think The People have given up and are back 18% in the year.
The Mail on Sunday shows a decrease of 9,000 or 10%, but their circulation is volatile on the back of multiple copy sales and promotions.
Table: Sunday ABC Circulation 2015 Jan-June
Publication | JJ 2015 | JJ 2014 | Diff ‘000 | Diff % |
Sunday Independent | 213,549 | 220,565 | -7,016 | -3% |
Sunday World | 178,867 | 198,260 | -19,393 | -10% |
Sunday Business Post | 32,498 | 34,012 | -1,514 | -4% |
Daily Star Sunday | 16,138 | 19,877 | -3,739 | -19% |
The Sun (Sunday) | 53,047 | 55,417 | -2,370 | -4% |
Irish Sunday Mirror | 30,586 | 35,467 | -4,881 | -14% |
The People | 11,340 | 13,759 | -2,419 | -18% |
(Total Tabloid) | 289,978 | 322,780 | -32,802 | -10% |
Sunday Express | 3,165 | 3,486 | -321 | -9% |
Mail on Sunday | 90,399 | 100,082 | -9,683 | -10% |
Independent.on Sunday | ||||
The Observer | 4,860 | 5,319 | -459 | -9% |
Sunday Telegraph | 2,274 | 2,528 | -254 | -10% |
Sunday Times | 82,748 | 91,841 | -9,093 | -10% |
Total Sunday | 719,471 | 780,613 | -61,142 | -8% |
The Sunday Times is also back 10% to 82,000. It has to be remembered that during the year they had a price increase from €2:80 to €3:00 which, although still the right side of a bad price point, may have had a negative effect on sales. The price increase, in overall revenue terms, is marginally working in their favor at this point by about 3% I’d estimate.
The rest of the papers are small in number and have little impact on the market.
The Sunday market is down 8% on the year and the more alarming metric would be the rate of change graph below which shows a reversal for fortunes.
Graphics: Sunday Market
Morning Market
A cert was finally released for the Irish Independent and they stand at 109,000 a drop of 2.5% on the year. In that figure is 85% actively purchased down from 87% last year – so proportionally there’s a greater reliance on the Multiple copies sales in this period.
The Irish Times is down 5% to 76,194 dropping below the eighty mark but is on par with the market which showed a 5% fall. Their actively purchased dropped over the year from 89% to 88%.
The Examiner too is back 5% to 33,000 and they have an insignificant number of bulks and multiple copy sales.
Like the Sunday Market the Tabloids suffered more that the morning market. Collectively they are down 8% with The Daily Mirror dropping 14% to 43,000. The Sun and Daily Star are down 5% each with The Sun marginally ahead of The Star.
The Daily Mail is doing better than the market down 1% and, again, the other papers are small in terms of numbers.
Table: Morning Market Sales 2015 Jan-June
Publication | JJ 2015 | JJ 2014 | Diff ‘000 | Diff % |
Irish Independent | 109,524 | 112,383 | -2,859 | -2.5% |
Irish Times | 76,194 | 80,332 | -4,138 | -5.2% |
Examiner | 33,198 | 35,026 | -1,828 | -5.2% |
Daily Mirror | 43,250 | 50,263 | -7,013 | -14.0% |
Irish Daily Star | 57,658 | 60,998 | -3,340 | -5.5% |
The Sun | 57,702 | 60,711 | -3,009 | -5.0% |
Tabloids | 158,610 | 171,972 | -13,362 | -7.8% |
Daily Express | 2,588 | 2,785 | -197 | -7.1% |
Irish Daily Mail | 49,876 | 50,503 | -627 | -1.2% |
Daily Telegraph | 2,612 | 2,726 | -114 | -4.2% |
Financial Times | 2,371 | 2,462 | -91 | -3.7% |
Guardian | 2,561 | 2,792 | -231 | -8.3% |
The Times | 2,348 | 2,182 | 166 | 7.6% |
Total | 439,882 | 463,163 | -23,281 | -5.0% |
Graphics: Morning Market