Day: 21 August 2014

  • Newspaper Circulation Jan June 2014

    Newspaper Circulation Jan June 2014

    “Ta-da” – the cosmetic adverts catchphrase. I use it mockingly as it heralds the publication, finally, of the ABC’s of the reaming newspapers in the market. Plenty of cosmetics would be needed to make these figures even vaguely attractive.

    The total market contacted by 7% over a twelve month period. The market is still 204m newspapers a year, but falling at 7% per annum isn’t a sustainable business model. The morning market is falling faster than the Sunday market and you can have as many hypothesis on that as you like. 

    Market JJ 2014 JJ 2013 Diff ‘000 Diff %
    Total Sunday 780,613 834,374 -53,761 -6%
    Total Morning 463,163 495,991 -32,828 -7%
    Total Evening 63,600 73,942 -10,342 -14%
             
    Total Market 1,307,376 1,405,818 -98,441 -7%

    The two graphs below illustrate the fortunes of each segment. But the last graph shows the rate of decline in each market.

    over 2014

    I’ve superimposed out GDP growth/decline over the same period to further illustrate that at one point the fortunes of the economy and the newspaper market were intrinsically linked it would seem. Now there would seem to have been an uncoupling of this bond – for the worse.    

    rate change 2014

     

    The table below shows the titles (with a circulation above 20,000) in comparison to last year. Its ranked in percentage terms (the table is sortable – just click on the column heading you want to sort)     

    Publication JJ 2014 JJ 2013 Diff ‘000 Diff %
    Evening Herald   51,600 58,545 -6,945 -11.86%
    Sunday Business Post 34,012 38,293 -4,281 -11.18%
    Irish Sunday Mirror 35,467 39,186 -3,719 -9.49%
    Irish Daily Star 60,998 66,773 -5,775 -8.65%
    Daily Mirror 50,263 54,550 -4,287 -7.86%
    Examiner 35,026 37,897 -2,871 -7.58%
    Irish Independent 112,383 121,120 -8,737 -7.21%
    The Sun 60,711 65,263 -4,552 -6.97%
    Sunday Times 91,841 98,328 -6,487 -6.60%
    Sunday World 198,260 211,161 -12,901 -6.11%
    Mail on Sunday 100,082 105,913 -5,831 -5.51%
    Sunday Independent   220,565 232,494 -11,929 -5.13%
    Irish Times 80,332 84,201 -3,869 -4.59%
    The Sun (Sunday) 55,417 57,618 -2,201 -3.82%
    Irish Daily Mail 50,503 51,675 -1,172 -2.27%

     

  • Morning Newspaper Circulation Jan June 2014

    Morning Newspaper Circulation Jan June 2014

    The morning market slipped back 6% to 463,000 since the audit of Jan-June 2013 and has now dropped 28% since 2000. The brunt of the fall was felt in the ‘red tops’ who collectively have fallen 35% since the millennium whereas the non red-tops have declined by 22%.  

    The Irish Independent lost  8,700 copies or 7% of its circulation over the year and managed to kept the bulks at 13% the same as last year. The Irish Times managed to stay ahead of the eighty mark but lost 3,800 (-5%) over the same period last year. But, perhaps things could have been worse if the ‘bulks’ hadn’t kicked in. The Irish Times increased their bulks from an average of 6,036 last year to 9,014 this time out or 4.2% of sales in 2013 to 11.3% of sales in 2014.

    The Examiner fared badly over the year dropping -8% to 35,000.

    Red Tops

    The real damage was sustained to the “red-tops” who are collectively down 7% year on year and a massive 35% since 2000. Their share of the morning market has fallen to 37% down from a high in 2005 of a 45% share. 

    The biggest faller over the twelve months has been the Daily Star back nearly 6,000 copies or –9%. This is followed by The Sun down -7% or 4,500 and The Mirror declined 8% down 4,200. Given that we are looking at an average circulation over the first six months of the year, it’s as well to point out that the recent past has seen further declines in fortunes with The Star and Sun slipping below sixty and the Mirror under the forty levels.  

    A quick glance at the table below just shows how unsustainable theses continued falls are. 

    Publication JJ 2014 JJ 2013 Diff ‘000 Diff %
    Irish Independent 112,383 121,120 -8,737 -7.2%
    Irish Times 80,332 84,201 -3,869 -4.6%
    Examiner 35,026 37,897 -2,871 -7.6%
             
    Daily Mirror 50,263 54,550 -4,287 -7.9%
    Irish Daily Star 60,998 66,773 -5,775 -8.6%
    The Sun 60,711 65,263 -4,552 -7.0%
      171,972 186,586 -14,614 -7.8%
    Daily Express 2,785 2,814 -29 -1.0%
    Irish Daily Mail 50,503 51,675 -1,172 -2.3%
             
    Daily Telegraph 2,726 2,867 -141 -4.9%
    Financial Times 2,462 2,740 -278 -10.1%
    Guardian 2,792 3,067 -275 -9.0%
    i   805    
    The Independent        
    The Times 2,182 2,219 -37 -1.7%
             
    Total  463,163 495,991 -32,828 -6.6%

    [module-303]

    Finally, it’s as well to mention the Herald here as they are now firmly established as a morning paper – by the mere fact that they are up and dressed like the rest of them when the shops open.  The move to the crowed morning market did perplex me and it would seem that it didn’t do much in terms of sales either. Sales are down 12% over the year to 51,600 

    hermor

  • Sunday Newspaper Circulation Jan June 2014

    The market fell by -6% or 53,000 in twelve months. The Sunday Independent dropped 12,000 over the twelve months to 220,000. The Sunday world lost 13,000 which drops it back to below 200,000 to 198,000. The Sunday Business Post, despite a new look, lost 11% to rest at 34,000.  

    The Daily Star on Sunday does nothing in the market here and is beginning to reap what is it has sown with an 11% decline year on year. The People outperformed that and dropped 16% of its sales in the year. At head office a decision has been made that the Sunday mirror and Peoples’ editorial is to be merged and might signal the beginning of the end for the title

    The Sun (Sunday) dropped 4% – which is better than the market decrease – they lost 2,200 on the year. The Sunday Mirror lost 9% or 3,700 and the collective tabloids fell by 8% on the year.

    The Mail on Sunday fell back 6% or 6,000 copies and now hovers just over 100,000. The Sunday Times fell back 7% or 6,400 copies and hasn’t managed to arrest the decline, as like many others in the Sunday Market, in recent months.

    Publication JJ 2014 JJ 2013 Diff ‘000 Diff %
    Sunday Independent   220,565 232,494 -11,929 -5.1%
    Sunday World 198,260 211,161 -12,901 -6.1%
    Sunday Business Post 34,012 38,293 -4,281 -11.2%
             
    Daily Star Sunday  19,877 22,420 -2,543 -11.3%
    The Sun (Sunday) 55,417 57,618 -2,201 -3.8%
    Irish Sunday Mirror 35,467 39,186 -3,719 -9.5%
    The People 13,759 16,323 -2,564 -15.7%
    (Total Tab) 124,520 135,547 -11,027 -8.1%
    Sunday Express 3,486 3,496 -10 -0.3%
    Mail on Sunday 100,082 105,913 -5,831 -5.5%
             
    Independent.on Sunday        
    The Observer 5,319 5,824 -505 -8.7%
    Sunday Telegraph 2,528 2,711 -183 -6.8%
    Sunday Times 91,841 98,328 -6,487 -6.6%
             
    Total Sunday 780,613 833,767 -53,154 -6.4%

    [module-302]